Raging Lithium Bull in the China Shop - Investor perspective
24 Jun 2025
Sustainability & Innovation HUB
Lithium
Policy
Market Outlook
Investment & Finance
Pessimism in the lithium sector is at an all-time high, with analysts predicting oversupply through 2029/30. However, they underestimate how low prices drive exponential demand growth—beyond EVs, into energy storage (BESS), ships, aircraft, and even the emerging Low Altitude Economy in China. Investors have a rare opportunity to enter the market at cyclical lows before a projected supply deficit hits in 2026. With 120 lithium mines worldwide to invest into, those positioned early stand to benefit from the next lithium supercycle.
- Arcane Capital tracks 97 lithium companies operating 120 lithium mines, many of which are uneconomical at current prices—future supply constraints are inevitable.
- BESS demand is just beginning; by 2030, it could consume nearly all batteries produced last year, driven by explosive solar market expansion.
- China’s dominance in low-cost, high-tech battery production (CATL & BYD) will fuel an underestimated surge in global EV and energy storage demand.